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Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 40.86%2.45fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.806%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%40.90%41.10%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.302.302.4047.62%43.50%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 59.14%1.69fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.89%59.10%58.90%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.591.591.6565.79%62.90%62.89%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 40.86%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 59.14%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.93%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.93%E -0.806%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 04:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.93%E -0.806%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 04:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -2.34%E -0.980%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.60%E -2.21%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 04:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.57%E -1.51%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.38%E -3.36%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 04:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.42%E -1.47%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 04:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.01%E -1.84%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-17 04:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.79%E -2.97%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 04:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.97%E -3.75%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 04:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.98%E -1.69%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.15%E -4.56%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 04:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.38%E -1.87%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.60%E -2.21%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 04:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.20%E -2.24%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.15%E -4.56%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 04:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.20%E -2.24%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.74%E -4.96%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 04:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.20%E -2.24%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.74%E -4.96%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 04:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.20%E -2.24%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.74%E -4.96%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 04:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.20%E -2.24%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.74%E -4.96%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 04:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.20%E -2.24%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.74%E -4.96%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 04:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 04:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 04:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 18:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.38%E -3.36%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 04:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.97%E -3.75%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 04:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.15%E -4.56%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 04:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.02%E -2.62%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.33%E -5.38%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 18:36 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.20%E -2.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.97%E -3.75%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 04:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.56%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 04:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.56%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 04:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.56%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.56%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.56%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.56%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 04:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.06%E -3.58%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.15%E -4.56%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 04:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.11%E -4.59%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.38%E -3.36%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 22:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -14.19%E -6.76%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -10.11%E -6.65%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-17 04:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.