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Chiba Lotte Marines v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 38.85%2.57fair odd
EV +4.88%
Edge +1.81%
Kelly +2.87%
Growth +0.140%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.41%38.67%38.92%40.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.422.402.7044.84%41.25%41.67%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 61.15%1.64fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -5.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.59%61.33%61.08%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.541.541.5868.03%64.91%64.94%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 38.85%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 61.15%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +4.88%E +1.81%K +2.87%G +0.140% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -9.49%E -6.41%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 08:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +4.88%E +1.81%K +2.87%G +0.140% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -9.49%E -6.41%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 08:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -0.554%E -0.216%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-21 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.72%E -0.680%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-21 05:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.72%E -0.680%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-21 05:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%EV -2.11%E -0.837%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-21 08:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 05:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-21 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.10%E -6.87%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 05:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 05:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 07:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 04:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.43%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 04:16 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 05:43 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 04:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-20 21:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.43%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 08:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.43%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 05:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.43%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 05:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.43%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 07:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.43%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 05:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.43%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 05:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.43%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 05:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.93%E -3.35%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.43%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 21:18 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 06:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.43%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-21 04:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -9.49%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 08:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -9.49%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 08:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -9.49%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 08:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -9.49%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 08:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -9.49%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 08:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -9.49%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 08:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -8.88%E -5.96%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-21 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -13.37%E -6.00%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -10.10%E -6.87%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-21 08:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.