The School of Odds

Chiba Lotte Marines v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 40.45%2.47fair odd
EV -0.907%
Edge -0.370%
Kelly -0.625%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.28%40.40%40.51%41.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.352.4546.51%42.91%42.55%40.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 59.55%1.68fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.54%59.60%59.49%60.72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.571.6566.67%63.26%63.69%60.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.907%E -0.370%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-07 08:14
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.907%E -0.370%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-07 08:15
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.72%E -0.706%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-07 08:50
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.93%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-07 08:15
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 07:09
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 08:50
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.10%E -4.55%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 08:35
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.10%E -4.55%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 08:35
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.10%E -4.55%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 08:35
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.10%E -4.55%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 08:34
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.10%E -4.55%K -12.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 08:34
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 08:55
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.71%E -2.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 08:35
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.71%E -2.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 08:35
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.71%E -2.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 08:34
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 08:49
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.95%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.48%E -6.24%K -18.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-07 06:25
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -5.76%E -2.47%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -1.74%E -1.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-07 08:20
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.16%E -2.66%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 08:55
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.12%E -2.56%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 22:59
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.71%E -2.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 08:33
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 06:55
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 08:30
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 08:15
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 08:50
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 08:14
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.10%E -4.55%K -12.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 08:50
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 08:50
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 08:05
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 08:04
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 08:05
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-06 23:00
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.02%E -5.01%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.29%E -5.38%K -15.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-07 08:49
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -13.04%E -6.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.90%EV -10.67%E -7.11%K -21.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-07 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.