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Chiba Lotte Marines v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 48.89%2.05fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%48.92%48.93%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.921.911.9956.18%52.16%52.36%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 51.11%1.96fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%51.08%51.07%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.841.851.9158.82%54.47%54.20%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 48.89%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 51.11%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -2.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-28 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.95%E -3.24%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-28 08:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.71%E -1.36%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -5.95%E -3.24%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -4.18%E -2.13%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-28 08:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 06:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 06:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.55%E -6.03%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-28 06:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.65%E -2.93%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 06:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.65%E -2.93%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.65%E -2.93%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 22:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.65%E -2.93%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.65%E -2.93%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.65%E -2.93%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.65%E -2.93%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.38%E -1.24%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-28 08:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-28 06:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.47%E -3.53%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-28 08:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.47%E -3.53%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-28 05:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.47%E -3.53%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-28 05:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.47%E -3.53%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-28 08:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.47%E -3.53%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-28 08:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.47%E -3.53%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-28 05:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.47%E -3.53%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-28 06:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.00%E -4.44%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-28 07:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.00%E -4.44%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-28 07:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.00%E -4.44%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-28 07:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.00%E -4.44%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-28 05:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.58%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-28 08:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.58%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.53%E -5.76%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.53%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-28 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -11.51%E -6.36%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -11.58%E -6.69%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-28 08:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.85%EV -12.98%E -7.29%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.15%EV -13.11%E -7.71%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-28 08:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.