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Chiba Lotte Marines v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 40.02%2.50fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.795%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%40.13%39.90%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.332.352.4544.44%42.83%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 59.98%1.67fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -4.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.87%60.10%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.581.6266.67%63.26%63.29%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 40.02%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 59.98%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -1.95%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.95%E -0.795%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-16 08:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.95%E -0.795%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-16 08:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.95%E -0.795%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-16 08:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.95%E -0.795%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 08:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.35%E -0.962%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-16 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 08:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.95%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.03%E -6.69%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 08:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -4.35%E -1.82%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -2.83%E -1.75%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-16 08:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.75%E -2.00%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 23:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 08:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 08:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 08:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 08:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 08:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.83%E -5.81%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 08:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.75%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 08:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -6.75%E -2.90%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 08:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 08:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 05:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.43%E -4.12%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 08:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.03%E -4.54%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 08:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.83%E -1.75%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 00:23 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 19:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 19:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 00:23 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.83%E -5.81%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-16 08:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.