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Chiba Lotte Marines v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 41.97%2.38fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.582%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%42.31%41.86%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.242.3548.78%45.13%44.64%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 58.03%1.72fair odd
EV +1.55%
Edge +0.886%
Kelly +2.07%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%57.69%58.14%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.641.651.7564.52%61.00%60.61%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 41.97%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 58.03%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -11.02%E -5.20%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV +1.55%E +0.886%K +2.07%G +0.032% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 08:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -13.96%E -6.81%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +0.970%E +0.557%K +1.31%G +0.013% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 23:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -8.92%E -4.11%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -1.35%E -0.795%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 08:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.09%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-13 08:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.09%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-13 08:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.09%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-13 08:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.89%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.09%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-13 08:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.09%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.09%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.09%E -1.85%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 08:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.82%E -3.07%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.67%E -2.21%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 08:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.37%E -0.582%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.25%E -2.58%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-13 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.25%E -2.58%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 08:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.25%E -2.58%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 08:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.25%E -2.58%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.25%E -2.58%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.25%E -2.58%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 08:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.25%E -2.58%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 08:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 08:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 08:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 08:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.99%E -3.70%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 08:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 08:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 08:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 08:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 08:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.40%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 08:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.57%E -4.08%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 08:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.66%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.15%E -4.47%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-13 08:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.90%E -5.67%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.76%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -9.48%E -6.07%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-13 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.06%E -6.49%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-13 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.