Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 40.70%2.46fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.536%
Kelly +0.895%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.93%40.84%40.57%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.302.4946.51%43.61%43.48%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 59.30%1.69fair odd
EV +0.816%
Edge +0.480%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.16%59.43%61.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.7065.36%62.36%62.50%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 40.70%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 59.30%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +1.33%E +0.536%K +0.895%G +0.012%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.71%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-30 04:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +1.33%E +0.536%K +0.895%G +0.012%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.71%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-30 04:50
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.33%E -0.970%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.93%E -2.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 04:40
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.33%E -0.970%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 14:17
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -3.55%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.71%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 04:30
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.96%E -1.68%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 04:40
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 04:50
William Hill🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.77%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.33%E -2.05%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 04:50
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 04:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 04:20
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 04:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 04:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 04:20
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 04:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.71%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 04:40
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.71%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 04:40
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 04:40
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 04:40
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -8.03%E -3.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV +0.816%E +0.480%K +1.17%G +0.010%3.1%2026-05-30 04:40
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%EV -8.03%E -3.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%EV +0.223%E +0.132%K +0.324%G +0.001%3.4%2026-05-30 04:40
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.15%E -1.30%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 04:50
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.15%E -1.30%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 04:50
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 04:48
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 04:19
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 04:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 04:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 04:30
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.963%E -0.577%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 04:50
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.15%E -1.30%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 04:40
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 04:30
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -12.50%E -5.82%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 04:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.50%E -5.82%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -8.67%E -5.63%K -16.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.