Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 35.05%2.85fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.407%
Kelly -0.631%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%35.05%35.21%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.682.702.8239.22%37.31%37.04%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 64.95%1.54fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -5.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%64.95%64.79%65.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.73%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 35.05%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 64.95%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.82, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -1.15%E -0.407%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-03 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.85%E -0.660%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.85%E -0.660%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 08:40
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.85%E -0.660%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.18%E -3.55%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 08:54
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -3.25%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 08:30
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 13:01
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 13:00
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 13:00
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 13:10
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.53%E -3.08%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 13:04
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 08:35
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 22:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 08:29
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 08:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 08:30
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 08:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.35%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.08%E -6.48%K -22.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 08:30
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -5.71%E -2.12%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 13:18
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.58%E -1.72%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 08:28
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.83%E -4.02%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 08:54
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 08:25
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 08:25
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 13:01
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 13:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 13:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 13:05
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.16%E -3.11%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 22:14
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.88%E -2.62%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 13:09
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 18:04
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.48%E -4.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -10.61%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.78%E -5.48%K -18.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.