默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-07-20 08:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

46%

54%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)

预测 45.91%2.18公平赔率

EV +1.01%

优势 +0.458%

Kelly +0.839%

增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布

43.73%45.87%45.91%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.912.052.052.2052.36%48.89%48.78%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 54.09%1.85公平赔率

EV -2.64%

优势 -1.47%

Kelly -3.30%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布

52.38%54.13%54.09%56.27%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.651.741.741.8060.61%57.36%57.47%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)：45.91%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：54.09%。对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.18。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.20，对应+1.01%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +1.01%E +0.458%K +0.839%G +0.008%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.51%E -4.39%K -10.58%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-20 07:55
LowVig.ag🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +1.01%E +0.458%K +0.839%G +0.008%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.51%E -4.39%K -10.58%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-20 07:55
Pinnacle🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -0.829%E -0.384%K -0.715%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -4.81%E -2.73%K -6.32%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-07-20 07:55
1xBet🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -0.829%E -0.384%K -0.715%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.89%E -3.38%K -7.96%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-20 07:55
Coolbet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.58%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.13%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-20 07:54
DraftKings🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.58%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.89%E -3.38%K -7.96%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-20 07:45
Bovada🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.58%E -1.71%K -3.26%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.59%E -5.08%K -12.45%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-20 07:54
William Hill🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.50%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.72%E -2.09%K -4.77%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-19 23:25
FanDuel🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.50%E -2.16%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.81%E -2.73%K -6.32%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-20 07:50
NordicBet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.72%E -2.09%K -4.77%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-20 07:50
Betsson🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.72%E -2.09%K -4.77%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-20 07:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.13%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-20 07:54
theScore Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.89%E -3.38%K -7.96%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-20 07:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.89%E -3.38%K -7.96%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-20 07:50
ReBet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.89%E -3.38%K -7.96%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-20 07:50
BoyleSports🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.43%E -3.72%K -8.81%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-20 07:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.05%E -4.74%K -11.50%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-20 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.26%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.72%E -2.09%K -4.77%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-20 07:30
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.26%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.72%E -2.09%K -4.77%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-20 07:30
PMU (FR)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.26%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.72%E -2.09%K -4.77%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-20 07:30
BetRivers🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.26%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.72%E -2.09%K -4.77%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-20 07:30
Bally Bet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.26%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.72%E -2.09%K -4.77%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-20 07:30
Unibet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.26%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.72%E -2.09%K -4.77%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-20 07:30
BetUS🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -7.72%E -3.84%K -7.64%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -4.81%E -2.73%K -6.32%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-20 07:55
888sport🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.43%E -3.72%K -8.81%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-19 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.43%E -3.72%K -8.81%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-19 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.43%E -3.72%K -8.81%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-19 23:05
Betway🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.51%E -4.39%K -10.58%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-20 07:50
Fanatics🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.51%E -4.39%K -10.58%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-20 07:54
BetMGM🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.28%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-19 23:20
Coral🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.47%E -5.37%K -11.02%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.35%E -3.06%K -7.13%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-07-19 23:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.47%E -5.37%K -11.02%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -9.13%E -5.44%K -13.43%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-07-20 07:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -12.31%E -6.44%K -13.52%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 53.65%EV -10.76%E -6.52%K -16.55%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-07-20 07:48

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。