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Chiba Lotte Marines v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 33.47%2.99fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.471%
Kelly +0.703%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.40%33.44%33.73%35.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.802.783.0340.00%35.78%35.97%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 66.53%1.50fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -7.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.53%66.56%66.27%68.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.421.421.4575.19%70.62%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 33.47%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 66.53%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV +1.43%E +0.471%K +0.703%G +0.010% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-02 08:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.98%EV +1.09%E +0.362%K +0.541%G +0.006% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.02%EV -5.53%E -3.90%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-02 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -0.247%E -0.083%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.25%E -0.424%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.53%E -3.90%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.25%E -0.424%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.53%E -3.90%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -1.25%E -0.424%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -10.19%E -7.55%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-02 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.19%E -5.94%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 08:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.26%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.20%E -2.92%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-02 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.26%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.20%E -2.92%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-02 08:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 08:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 08:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -3.93%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 08:38 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.60%E -1.61%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -7.53%E -5.42%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 07:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 08:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 07:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -6.94%E -2.50%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 08:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 08:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 08:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 08:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 08:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.95%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 07:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 07:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 05:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.20%E -2.92%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.20%E -2.92%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.20%E -2.92%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.20%E -2.92%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 07:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.20%E -2.92%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 07:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -11.29%E -4.26%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 08:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.30%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.20%E -2.92%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 05:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.01%EV -12.97%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.99%EV -10.86%E -8.10%K -31.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-02 08:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.73%EV -16.31%E -6.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.27%EV -11.52%E -8.66%K -34.91%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-02 08:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.