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Chiba Lotte Marines v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 40.02%2.50fair odd
EV -0.761%
Edge -0.307%
Kelly -0.514%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.31%40.04%40.05%43.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.192.342.322.4845.66%42.70%43.10%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 59.98%1.67fair odd
EV +0.174%
Edge +0.104%
Kelly +0.259%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.74%59.96%59.95%61.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.571.571.6768.03%63.58%63.69%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 40.02%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 59.98%. For Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.667. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.670, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.174%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -7.16%E -3.09%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV +0.174%E +0.104%K +0.259%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -12.37%E -5.65%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV +0.174%E +0.104%K +0.259%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -7.56%E -3.27%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -0.426%E -0.257%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.83%E -1.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.43%E -2.13%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-19 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.03%E -2.52%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 08:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-19 05:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -0.761%E -0.307%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-19 07:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.82%E -3.71%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 23:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.42%E -4.12%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 07:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.42%E -4.12%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-19 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.96%E -0.801%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -3.16%E -1.31%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-19 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.96%E -3.46%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.02%E -4.53%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.761%E -0.307%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 08:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.62%E -4.95%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-19 08:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.96%E -1.65%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-19 08:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-19 07:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-19 07:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-19 07:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.76%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-19 07:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-19 07:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.96%E -2.54%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.22%E -5.38%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-19 07:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.96%E -4.43%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -10.62%E -7.13%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-19 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.84%EV -11.16%E -5.03%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.16%EV -11.82%E -8.04%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-19 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.