The School of Odds

Chiba Lotte Marines v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

2026-07-19 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 43.18%2.32fair odd
EV -0.684%
Edge -0.297%
Kelly -0.526%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.54%43.11%43.06%44.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.3049%46%46%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 56.82%1.76fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.984%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%56.89%56.94%58.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.671.7363%60%60%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.684%E -0.297%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.54%E -2.70%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 18:15
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.684%E -0.297%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.11%E -3.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 17:34
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.684%E -0.297%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.11%E -3.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 17:35
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.55%E -0.679%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.95%E -4.91%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:50
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.55%E -0.679%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.95%E -4.91%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:50
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.55%E -0.679%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.95%E -4.91%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.55%E -0.679%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.95%E -4.91%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:50
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.55%E -0.679%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.95%E -4.91%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:50
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.55%E -0.679%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.95%E -4.91%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:49
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.84%E -1.26%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.98%E -2.35%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 13:45
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.14%E -1.86%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.11%E -3.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 13:50
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.54%E -2.70%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 14:10
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.54%E -2.70%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 14:10
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.11%E -3.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 14:10
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.25%E -3.79%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 14:05
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.00%E -2.27%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.09%E -5.68%K -15.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 18:55
William Hill2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -5.43%E -2.48%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -2.84%E -1.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 14:05
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -5.87%E -2.69%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -1.70%E -0.984%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-18 13:30
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.87%E -2.69%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.68%E -3.42%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 13:54
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.30%E -2.90%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.41%E -2.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 13:20
BetUS2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.30%E -2.90%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.54%E -2.70%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:09
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.16%E -3.33%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.98%E -2.35%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 13:23
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.16%E -3.33%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.11%E -3.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 13:45
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.16%E -3.33%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.11%E -3.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 13:15
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.16%E -3.33%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.11%E -3.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 19:10
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.16%E -3.33%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.95%E -4.91%K -12.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 16:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.16%E -3.33%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.95%E -4.91%K -12.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 18:05
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.32%E -4.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -3.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 13:20
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.32%E -4.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -3.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 13:19
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.32%E -4.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -3.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 13:20
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.32%E -4.44%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.52%E -5.29%K -13.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 21:05
Betclic (FR)2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -9.75%E -4.67%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.49%EV -8.52%E -5.29%K -13.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 13:45
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.48%E -5.60%K -10.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.09%E -5.68%K -15.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.