Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.22
assuming max odds 4.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yale Bulldogs (Local): 78.29%; Jackson St Tigers (Visit): 21.71%. For Jackson St Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.50, with an expected value of -2.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.15%E -3.29%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.15%E -3.29%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.29%E -0.510%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 18:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.62%E -6.46%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.46%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.39%EV -7.62%E -6.46%K -42.34%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 22.61%EV -12.28%E -3.04%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 20:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.