Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yale Bulldogs v Jackson St Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yale Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 78.29%1.28fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -3.68%
Kelly -20.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%78.29%78.85%79.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.191.191.2284.75%83.75%84.03%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jackson St Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 21.71%4.61fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.510%
Kelly -0.655%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%21.71%21.15%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.194.044.5025.00%23.88%24.75%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yale Bulldogs (Local): 78.29%; Jackson St Tigers (Visit): 21.71%. For Jackson St Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.50, with an expected value of -2.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.49%E -3.68%K -20.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.15%E -3.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.06%E -5.05%K -30.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.15%E -3.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.84%E -5.75%K -35.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.29%E -0.510%K -0.655%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:34
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.62%E -6.46%K -42.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.46%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 18:55
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.39%EV -7.62%E -6.46%K -42.34%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.61%EV -12.28%E -3.04%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.