The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Xavier Musketeers v Evansville Purple Aces

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Xavier Musketeers (Local)

Prediction 65.92%1.52fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -9.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.63%65.84%65.87%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.421.421.4571.43%70.20%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Evansville Purple Aces (Visit)

Prediction 34.08%2.93fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%34.16%34.13%35.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.722.752.8038.46%36.81%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xavier Musketeers (Local): 65.92%; Evansville Purple Aces (Visit): 34.08%. For Xavier Musketeers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.45, with an expected value of -4.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 17:24
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.69%E -3.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 17:27
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.07%E -3.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.69%E -3.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 17:50
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -5.95%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 17:29
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.73%E -4.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 17:29
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.58%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 17:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -6.39%E -4.50%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -7.31%E -2.69%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 17:34
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.05%E -5.00%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 17:15
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.05%E -5.00%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 17:15
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.05%E -5.00%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.29%E -2.29%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 17:15
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.40%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 66.26%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.74%8.6%2026-03-13 18:49