Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wright St Raiders v Cincinnati Bearcats

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wright St Raiders (Local)

Prediction 33.94%2.95fair odd
EV +0.467%
Edge +0.158%
Kelly +0.238%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.80%33.95%33.73%36.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.762.752.9637.74%36.18%36.36%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit)

Prediction 66.06%1.51fair odd
EV -0.912%
Edge -0.608%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.86%66.05%66.27%68.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.421.421.5072.46%70.51%70.67%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wright St Raiders (Local): 33.94%; Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit): 66.06%. For Wright St Raiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.467%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV +0.467%E +0.158%K +0.238%G +0.001%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -8.84%E -6.41%K -23.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.96%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 17:44
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.96%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 17:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.57%EV -5.30%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.43%EV -6.86%E -4.86%K -16.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:30
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.66%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:44
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.66%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 17:54
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.66%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:35
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.66%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:35
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.66%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:35
1xBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -7.68%E -2.82%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -6.20%E -4.36%K -14.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.36%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.22%E -2.91%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 01:20
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -10.05%E -3.79%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -0.912%E -0.608%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%3.5%2026-04-21 18:30