Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Winthrop Eagles v South Carolina Upstate Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-05-21 22:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

47%

53%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Winthrop Eagles (Local)

Prediction 47.05%2.13fair odd

EV -5.90%

Edge -2.95%

Kelly -5.90%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.95%47.06%47.05%47.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.951.981.972.0051.28%50.61%50.76%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Carolina Upstate Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 52.95%1.89fair odd

EV -6.28%

Edge -3.55%

Kelly -8.16%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.82%52.94%52.95%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.741.761.761.7757.47%56.86%56.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Winthrop Eagles (Local): 47.05%; South Carolina Upstate Spartans (Visit): 52.95%. For Winthrop Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -5.90%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.28%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-21 21:00
theScore Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.28%E -3.55%K -8.16%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-21 21:00
BetRivers🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.53%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.81%E -3.87%K -8.96%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-21 21:50
betPARX🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.53%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.81%E -3.87%K -8.96%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-21 21:50
Bally Bet🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.53%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.81%E -3.87%K -8.96%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-21 21:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.53%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.34%E -4.19%K -9.79%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-21 21:00
Betway🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.68%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.87%E -4.52%K -10.64%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-05-21 20:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.