The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Western Michigan Broncos v Michigan St Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Michigan Broncos (Local)

Prediction 33.22%3.01fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.678%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.08%33.54%32.56%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.852.9538.46%35.55%35.09%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan St Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 66.78%1.50fair odd
EV +0.169%
Edge +0.113%
Kelly +0.339%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%66.46%67.44%67.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.411.5073.53%71.13%70.92%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Michigan Broncos (Local): 33.22%; Michigan St Spartans (Visit): 66.78%. For Michigan St Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.497. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.500, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.169%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -13.63%E -5.24%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +0.169%E +0.113%K +0.339%G +0.001%5.1%2026-04-15 12:55
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.30%E -3.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.17%E -2.19%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:55
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.98%E -2.49%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.51%E -3.15%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 17:10
Caesars🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.00%E -0.678%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.17%E -3.64%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 17:54
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.64%E -3.14%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.17%E -3.64%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 17:54
1xBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -9.64%E -3.54%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -5.17%E -3.64%K -12.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 19:45
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.66%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.51%E -4.65%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 16:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -7.18%E -5.16%K -18.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 18:45
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.33%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.18%E -6.75%K -25.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 18:15
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.33%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.18%E -6.75%K -25.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 18:15
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.33%E -1.50%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.18%E -6.75%K -25.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 18:15
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -9.18%E -6.75%K -25.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 58.33%1.40I 71.43%NM 41.67%71.4%2026-04-15 19:40