The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers v Louisville Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Local)

Prediction 35.30%2.83fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.418%
Kelly -0.651%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%35.54%35.30%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.612.612.8041.15%38.26%38.31%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisville Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 64.70%1.55fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -5.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.83%64.46%64.70%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.461.451.5070.42%68.52%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Local): 35.30%; Louisville Cardinals (Visit): 64.70%. For Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.17%E -0.418%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.47%E -5.23%K -17.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 12:19
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -3.99%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.83%E -4.74%K -15.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 16:14
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.24%E -2.86%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 07:50
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.18%E -4.26%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 02:00
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.47%E -5.23%K -17.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 09:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -5.76%E -2.16%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.18%E -4.26%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 17:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -5.76%E -2.16%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.18%E -4.26%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 17:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.18%E -4.26%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 17:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -7.88%E -3.02%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -6.18%E -4.26%K -13.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-24 16:18
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.94%E -1.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 16:15
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.18%E -4.26%K -13.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 17:19
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.83%E -4.74%K -15.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 16:09
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -9.29%E -3.61%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -4.89%E -3.32%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 18:14
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -8.12%E -5.72%K -19.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-24 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -14.23%E -5.86%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -2.94%E -1.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 16:09
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -14.23%E -5.86%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -2.94%E -1.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 16:10
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -14.23%E -5.86%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -2.94%E -1.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 16:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%5.1%2026-03-24 22:54