The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers v Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Local)

Prediction 81.90%1.22fair odd
EV -5.00%
Edge -4.31%
Kelly -31.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.65%81.84%81.79%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.141.141.1688.50%87.64%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Visit)

Prediction 18.10%5.52fair odd
EV -0.425%
Edge -0.077%
Kelly -0.094%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%18.16%18.21%19.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.145.105.5021.05%19.47%19.61%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Local): 81.90%; Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Visit): 18.10%. For Eastern Kentucky Colonels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.50, with an expected value of -0.425%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 00:05
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 20:15
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 02:14
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.425%E -0.077%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.425%E -0.077%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 18:30
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -14.00%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.46%E -6.60%K -57.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -5.86%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 17:25
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.46%E -6.60%K -57.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -5.86%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 17:25
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.46%E -6.60%K -57.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -5.86%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.15I 86.96%NM 82.94%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.06%4.8%2026-05-06 21:25