The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers v Cincinnati Bearcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Local)

Prediction 36.20%2.76fair odd
EV -0.100%
Edge -0.036%
Kelly -0.057%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.09%36.21%36.27%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.592.602.7641.67%38.60%38.46%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit)

Prediction 63.80%1.57fair odd
EV -0.465%
Edge -0.298%
Kelly -0.831%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%63.79%63.73%66.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.461.481.5673.53%68.28%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Local): 36.20%; Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit): 63.80%. For Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.763. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.760, with an expected value of -0.100%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -0.100%E -0.036%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -8.76%E -6.13%K -20.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 19:30
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -0.462%E -0.168%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -13.23%E -9.73%K -36.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 19:30
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -0.462%E -0.168%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -13.23%E -9.73%K -36.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 19:30
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -0.462%E -0.168%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -13.23%E -9.73%K -36.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 19:31
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 17:15
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 19:10
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.21%E -4.22%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-03 17:33
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:31
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.93%E -3.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -10.96%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -2.38%E -1.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -10.96%E -4.45%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -2.38%E -1.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 19:45
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.32%E -4.62%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.38%E -1.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 19:44
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -13.13%E -5.47%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -0.465%E -0.298%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.