The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Western Illinois Leathernecks v Illinois St Redbirds

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Illinois Leathernecks (Local)

Prediction 24.92%4.01fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -0.717%
Kelly -0.964%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.83%24.98%24.75%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.693.653.9028.57%27.11%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Illinois St Redbirds (Visit)

Prediction 75.08%1.33fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -3.66%
Kelly -17.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.68%75.02%75.25%76.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2781.97%80.00%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Illinois Leathernecks (Local): 24.92%; Illinois St Redbirds (Visit): 75.08%. For Western Illinois Leathernecks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -2.80%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.80%E -0.717%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.41%E -6.89%K -38.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 16:15
FanDuel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.04%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.16%E -4.92%K -24.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 16:14
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.16%E -4.92%K -24.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 13:20
MyBookie.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.78%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.16%E -4.92%K -24.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 16:20
Bally Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.16%E -4.92%K -24.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 13:20
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.16%E -4.92%K -24.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 13:20
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.16%E -4.92%K -24.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 13:25
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.27%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.65%E -3.66%K -17.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 21:38
1xBet🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 25.98%EV -10.52%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -5.40%E -4.29%K -20.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 14:35
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.16%E -4.92%K -24.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 10:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎3.83I 26.11%NM 24.75%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.25%5.5%2026-03-12 18:25