Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Carolina Catamounts v Morehead St Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Carolina Catamounts (Local)

Prediction 72.11%1.39fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -3.64%
Kelly -15.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.27%72.14%72.26%72.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.301.301.3278.13%77.08%76.92%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Morehead St Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 27.89%3.59fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.06%27.86%27.74%28.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.363.403.4530.77%29.72%29.41%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Carolina Catamounts (Local): 72.11%; Morehead St Eagles (Visit): 27.89%. For Morehead St Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.45, with an expected value of -3.79%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.81%E -3.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 20:30
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.53%E -4.22%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 15:55
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.53%E -4.22%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 20:34
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -5.53%E -4.22%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 19:50
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.25%E -4.81%K -20.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.25%E -4.81%K -20.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 20:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.26%EV -6.97%E -5.41%K -24.05%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -6.30%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 20:40
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.97%E -5.41%K -24.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 19:35
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.69%E -6.01%K -27.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -3.79%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 19:35
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.69%E -6.01%K -27.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -3.79%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 19:35
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.69%E -6.01%K -27.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -3.79%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%5.2%2026-03-12 20:35