Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Carolina Catamounts v Appalachian St Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Western Carolina Catamounts (Local)

Prediction 48.34%2.07fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.677%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%48.56%48.52%50.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.951.952.0454.05%51.26%51.28%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Appalachian St Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 51.66%1.94fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.699%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.20%51.44%51.48%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.791.771.9158.14%55.87%56.50%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Carolina Catamounts (Local): 48.34%; Appalachian St Mountaineers (Visit): 51.66%. For Appalachian St Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -1.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -1.38%E -0.677%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -11.15%E -6.48%K -15.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 19:50
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.31%E -1.66%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.57%E -4.84%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 16:30
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.31%E -1.66%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.57%E -4.84%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 16:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -5.73%E -2.94%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -7.53%E -4.21%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 19:44
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.73%E -2.94%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.57%E -4.84%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:25
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.73%E -2.94%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.57%E -4.84%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:25
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.73%E -2.94%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.57%E -4.84%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 18:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 19:39
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 16:14
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -1.33%E -0.699%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%7.5%2026-04-14 20:55