The School of College Oddsodds.college
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West Virginia Mountaineers v UCF Knights

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 61.70%1.62fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -6.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%61.66%61.56%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.521.531.5666.67%65.60%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCF Knights (Visit)

Prediction 38.30%2.61fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -0.915%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.34%38.44%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.432.402.5542.02%41.13%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 61.70%; UCF Knights (Visit): 38.30%. For UCF Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -2.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.75%E -2.40%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.08%E -3.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 02:15
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.98%E -3.24%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.84%E -3.72%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:34
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.60%E -3.66%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.33%E -0.915%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 15:44
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.60%E -3.66%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.16%E -2.52%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 17:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.60%E -3.66%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.16%E -2.52%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 17:24
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.60%E -3.66%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.84%E -3.72%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 11:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.60%E -3.66%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.84%E -3.72%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 11:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.60%E -3.66%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.84%E -3.72%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 11:09
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.22%E -4.09%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -6.83%E -4.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -5.40%E -2.19%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 15:44
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.83%E -4.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.08%E -3.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:49
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.83%E -4.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.08%E -3.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:49
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.83%E -4.53%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.08%E -3.37%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.45%E -4.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.25%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 17:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%5.6%2026-04-04 17:24