The School of College Oddsodds.college
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West Virginia Mountaineers v TCU Horned Frogs

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 67.10%1.49fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -7.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.54%67.21%67.44%68.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.401.401.4474.07%71.56%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TCU Horned Frogs (Visit)

Prediction 32.90%3.04fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.437%
Kelly -0.656%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.40%32.79%32.56%34.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.722.852.853.0036.76%35.14%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 67.10%; TCU Horned Frogs (Visit): 32.90%. For TCU Horned Frogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -1.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -3.37%E -2.34%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -7.23%E -2.56%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 21:30
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.04%E -2.83%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.25%E -2.19%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:43
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -4.04%E -2.83%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -8.55%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -4.04%E -2.83%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -8.55%E -3.08%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 13:50
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -4.04%E -2.83%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -10.52%E -3.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.32%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 04:08
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.38%E -3.82%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.89%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 05:43
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.60%E -1.59%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 12:34
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.60%E -1.59%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:55
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 17:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -6.73%E -4.84%K -17.25%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -3.94%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 20:09
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.40%E -5.36%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.31%E -0.437%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 12:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.40%E -5.36%K -19.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.25%E -2.19%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 16:35
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.74%E -6.43%K -24.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.25%E -2.19%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 20:14
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.41%E -6.97%K -26.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.96%E -1.00%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.41%E -6.97%K -26.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.96%E -1.00%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 17:00
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.41%E -6.97%K -26.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.96%E -1.00%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.17I 85.47%NM 63.09%2.00I 50.00%NM 36.91%35.5%2026-05-15 21:19