The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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West Virginia Mountaineers v TCU Horned Frogs

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 59.59%1.68fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -5.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%59.97%59.64%63.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.561.571.6267.11%63.99%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TCU Horned Frogs (Visit)

Prediction 40.41%2.47fair odd
EV +3.86%
Edge +1.50%
Kelly +2.46%
Growth +0.095%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.70%40.03%40.36%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.322.5744.44%42.50%43.10%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 59.59%; TCU Horned Frogs (Visit): 40.41%. For TCU Horned Frogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -11.21%E -7.52%K -22.88%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV +3.86%E +1.50%K +2.46%G +0.095%6.0%2026-05-14 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -11.21%E -7.52%K -22.88%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV +3.86%E +1.50%K +2.46%G +0.095%6.0%2026-05-14 17:55
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -11.21%E -7.52%K -22.88%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV +1.83%E +0.728%K +1.21%G +0.022%6.8%2026-05-14 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.23%E -5.35%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.01%E -1.26%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 18:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -4.63%E -1.96%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.04%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 14:19
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 22:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 17:55
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.84%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.04%E -4.51%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.25%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 17:45
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.04%E -4.51%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.25%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 17:45
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.04%E -4.51%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.25%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 17:45
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.47%E -2.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 11:49
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 21:15
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 13:30
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.04%E -4.51%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 19:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.08%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.08%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.08%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 69.70%2.30I 43.48%NM 30.30%43.5%2026-05-14 21:50