The School of College Oddsodds.college
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West Virginia Mountaineers v North Carolina Tar Heels

Kickoff: 2026-06-17 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 42.90%2.33fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.576%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.41%42.98%42.86%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.232.3048.78%45.51%44.84%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)

Prediction 57.10%1.75fair odd
EV -0.650%
Edge -0.374%
Kelly -0.879%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%57.02%57.14%59.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.651.641.7464.10%60.70%60.98%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 42.90%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 57.10%. For North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.74, with an expected value of -0.650%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -1.32%E -0.576%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -10.93%E -7.00%K -19.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 17:00
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -1.32%E -0.576%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -10.93%E -7.00%K -19.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 17:00
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -1.32%E -0.576%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -10.93%E -7.00%K -19.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -2.61%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -8.07%E -5.01%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 16:10
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.07%E -5.01%K -13.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 16:49
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.47%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.36%E -6.60%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 06:20
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -3.90%E -1.74%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.93%E -4.25%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 16:00
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -3.90%E -1.74%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -7.50%E -4.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 16:50
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.08%E -2.43%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 17:20
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.61%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.79%E -3.51%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 17:00
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -6.04%E -2.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 17:50
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.76%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.51%E -2.07%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 16:40
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.90%E -4.72%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.36%E -1.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.650%E -0.374%K -0.879%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.650%E -0.374%K -0.879%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 17:40
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -12.05%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.650%E -0.374%K -0.879%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-17 17:21
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-06-17 17:50