Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers v Kansas St Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

63%

37%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 63.39%1.58fair odd

EV -4.92%

Edge -3.28%

Kelly -9.84%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.47%63.58%63.39%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.451.491.491.5068.97%67.34%67.11%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas St Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 36.61%2.73fair odd

EV -1.14%

Edge -0.424%

Kelly -0.673%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.94%36.42%36.61%37.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.472.532.492.7040.49%39.47%40.16%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 63.39%; Kansas St Wildcats (Visit): 36.61%. For Kansas St Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -1.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.00%E -2.76%K -4.55%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-21 23:30
BetUS🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-21 23:40
BetRivers🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -5.55%E -3.73%K -11.33%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -9.20%E -3.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-21 23:29
betPARX🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -5.55%E -3.73%K -11.33%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -9.20%E -3.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-21 23:29
Bally Bet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -5.55%E -3.73%K -11.33%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -9.20%E -3.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-21 23:29
FanDuel🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -6.19%E -4.18%K -12.89%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-21 23:30
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -6.19%E -4.18%K -12.89%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -9.57%E -3.87%K -6.51%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-21 23:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.14%E -0.424%K -0.673%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-21 23:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.