Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.67
assuming max odds 2.35
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 58.08%; Kansas Jayhawks (Visit): 41.92%. For Kansas Jayhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -1.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.00%E -1.80%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.00%E -1.80%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 23:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -3.00%E -1.80%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -12.81%E -6.16%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 21:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -3.00%E -1.80%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -12.81%E -6.16%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -3.00%E -1.80%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -12.81%E -6.16%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 21:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.16%E -2.52%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -4.85%E -2.13%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 21:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.43%E -1.94%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 22:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.78%E -3.54%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-23 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -7.65%E -4.81%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -2.75%E -1.19%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 23:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -7.65%E -4.81%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -2.75%E -1.19%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 23:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.65%E -4.81%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 17:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.65%E -4.81%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 23:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.65%E -4.81%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.59%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 16:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -8.23%E -5.21%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -6.52%E -2.93%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 20:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.49%E -0.635%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -9.39%E -6.02%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -1.49%E -0.635%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 22:38 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 0.9% | 2026-05-23 23:19 |