The School of College Oddsodds.college
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West Virginia Mountaineers v Cal Poly Mustangs

Kickoff: 2026-06-05 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 70.28%1.42fair odd
EV -0.199%
Edge -0.140%
Kelly -0.473%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%70.14%70.49%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.341.351.4279.37%74.84%74.07%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit)

Prediction 29.72%3.37fair odd
EV +4.01%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.064%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.47%29.86%29.51%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.173.203.5035.71%31.51%31.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 70.28%; Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit): 29.72%. For Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -11.44%E -9.08%K -44.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV +4.01%E +1.15%K +1.60%G +0.064%7.9%2026-06-05 15:30
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -11.44%E -9.08%K -44.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV +4.01%E +1.15%K +1.60%G +0.064%7.9%2026-06-05 15:30
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -11.44%E -9.08%K -44.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV +4.01%E +1.15%K +1.60%G +0.064%7.9%2026-06-05 15:30
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 18:47
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.82%E -4.34%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 14:10
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.52%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.52%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 16:09
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.52%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.52%E -4.91%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 16:19
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.20%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 15:30
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 13:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 13:58
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -8.17%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 15:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -8.17%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 15:40
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-05 14:08
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-05 15:40
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.93%E -6.05%K -25.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-05 11:49
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -0.199%E -0.140%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -16.79%E -6.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%8.0%2026-06-05 15:50