Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers v BYU Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 20:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 76.05%1.31fair odd
EV -4.94%
Edge -3.95%
Kelly -19.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.25%76.03%76.03%76.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.231.231.2582.64%81.38%80.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BYU Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 23.95%4.17fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.738%
Kelly -0.980%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.15%23.97%23.97%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.913.924.0526.67%25.58%25.48%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 76.05%; BYU Cougars (Visit): 23.95%. For BYU Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.05, with an expected value of -2.99%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 20:29
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.98%E -2.36%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 20:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.25%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.76%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.75%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 20:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.25%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.76%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.75%EV -4.67%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 20:29
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 20:29
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 20:30
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.78%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 20:22
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.78%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 20:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.46%E -5.25%K -28.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.58%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:28
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -2.99%E -0.738%K -0.980%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 20:26
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 20:29
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.98%E -6.60%K -38.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -4.19%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 20:29
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -7.98%E -6.60%K -38.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -5.38%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -7.98%E -6.60%K -38.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -5.38%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 20:29
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -7.98%E -6.60%K -38.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -5.38%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 20:29
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -7.98%E -6.60%K -38.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.17%E -2.71%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 20:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 77.78%3.50I 28.57%NM 22.22%28.6%2026-03-19 20:30