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West Virginia Mountaineers v Arizona St Sun Devils

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 03:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Virginia Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 54.15%1.85fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -5.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.38%53.62%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.731.731.7760.24%57.90%57.80%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit)

Prediction 45.85%2.18fair odd
EV +0.873%
Edge +0.397%
Kelly +0.727%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.62%46.38%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.042.002.2050.25%49.06%50.00%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Virginia Mountaineers (Local): 54.15%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 45.85%. For Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.873%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.57%E -5.73%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.873%E +0.397%K +0.727%G +0.006%5.3%2026-05-23 02:49
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.25%E -1.54%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 19:40
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.49%E -5.02%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.71%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 02:29
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.63%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 03:10
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -9.57%E -5.73%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -4.63%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 03:09
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%EV -10.11%E -6.09%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -4.63%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 03:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 21:09
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.16%E -2.35%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.16%E -2.35%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 02:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.16%E -2.35%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 02:49
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.16%E -2.35%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 02:49
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.16%E -2.35%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 21:09
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 02:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 02:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 02:29
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.41%E -4.33%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 03:08
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.41%E -4.33%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 03:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.76%E -4.40%K -8.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 01:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 38.02%1.00I 100.00%NM 61.98%61.3%2026-05-23 02:50