Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington St Cougars v San Diego St Aztecs

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington St Cougars (Local)

Prediction 48.13%2.08fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -3.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%48.23%48.26%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.932.0053.48%51.53%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego St Aztecs (Visit)

Prediction 51.87%1.93fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.77%51.74%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.811.801.8756.50%55.35%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington St Cougars (Local): 48.13%; San Diego St Aztecs (Visit): 51.87%. For San Diego St Aztecs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -3.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:30
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:00
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:30
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.70%E -2.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.56%E -2.48%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 18:29
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.11%E -3.68%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:10
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.11%E -3.68%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.11%E -3.68%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -7.11%E -3.68%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -7.15%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.07%E -4.23%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.07%E -4.23%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:29
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.07%E -4.23%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:29
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.07%E -4.23%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.00%E -5.34%K -11.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.00%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.