Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Huskies v San Diego St Aztecs

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Huskies (Local)

Prediction 50.27%1.99fair odd
EV +8.07%
Edge +3.76%
Kelly +7.02%
Growth +0.567%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%50.16%50.00%52.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.861.802.1556.18%53.90%55.56%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego St Aztecs (Visit)

Prediction 49.73%2.01fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.85%49.84%50.00%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.871.911.9659.88%53.45%52.36%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Huskies (Local): 50.27%; San Diego St Aztecs (Visit): 49.73%. For Washington Huskies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +8.07%E +3.76%K +7.02%G +0.567%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -16.95%E -10.15%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 20:49
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -0.472%E -0.238%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -10.48%E -5.82%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 19:44
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.98%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.48%E -5.82%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 20:49
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.21%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 19:49
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.01%E -4.38%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 19:49
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -8.51%E -4.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -2.52%E -1.29%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 20:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.52%E -5.29%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.01%E -2.62%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 20:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.52%E -5.29%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.01%E -2.62%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 20:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.52%E -5.29%K -11.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.01%E -2.62%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 20:24
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -10.52%E -5.91%K -13.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 17:49
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -10.52%E -5.91%K -13.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 17:49
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -10.52%E -5.91%K -13.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 17:50
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -10.52%E -5.91%K -13.49%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -8.49%E -4.61%K -10.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 20:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.