Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Huskies v Oregon Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 02:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Huskies (Local)

Prediction 29.21%3.42fair odd
EV -5.07%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%29.20%29.22%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.203.203.2532.05%31.24%31.25%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 70.79%1.41fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -10.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.11%70.80%70.78%71.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.331.3676.92%75.32%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Huskies (Local): 29.21%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 70.79%. For Oregon Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.36, with an expected value of -3.72%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.72%E -2.74%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 08:54
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 01:29
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 21:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -5.95%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.23%EV -5.95%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 15:44
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 00:05
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 15:54
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 08:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 08:54
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 19:00
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 19:00
Bally Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 19:00
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 16:19
MyBookie.ag🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.46%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.54%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 20:09
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 21:24
BetUS🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -8.87%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.19I 31.35%NM 28.95%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.05%8.3%2026-05-02 01:54