Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Huskies v Oregon Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 02:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Huskies (Local)

Prediction 30.61%3.27fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.636%
Kelly -0.926%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.52%30.63%30.56%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.043.033.2033.90%32.87%33.00%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 69.39%1.44fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -11.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.45%69.37%69.44%70.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.361.3875.19%73.76%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Huskies (Local): 30.61%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 69.39%. For Washington Huskies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -2.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.04%E -0.636%K -0.926%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.02%E -5.24%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 15:15
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.10%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.25%E -3.08%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 14:24
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.10%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:05
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.10%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 20:40
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.10%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.33%E -4.69%K -18.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 01:55
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.10%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.02%E -5.24%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:31
LowVig.ag🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -5.40%E -1.75%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -5.40%E -1.75%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 14:25
MyBookie.ag🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -6.93%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.25%EV -6.33%E -4.69%K -18.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 20:09
1xBet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -7.24%E -2.39%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -6.33%E -4.69%K -18.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:00
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.16%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.16%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.16%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:25
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.16%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.16%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 20:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.16%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.72%E -5.80%K -23.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 01:59
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 15:20
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 15:20
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.69%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%5.2%2026-05-03 01:35