Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Huskies v Gonzaga Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Huskies (Local)

Prediction 52.26%1.91fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.35%51.48%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.791.801.8758.48%55.76%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 47.74%2.09fair odd
EV +0.252%
Edge +0.120%
Kelly +0.229%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%47.65%48.52%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.942.1053.48%51.06%51.55%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Huskies (Local): 52.26%; Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit): 47.74%. For Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.252%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.63%E -6.22%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.252%E +0.120%K +0.229%G +0.001%6.1%2026-04-06 15:35
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.07%E -5.21%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 15:39
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -9.07%E -5.21%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 17:25
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -9.07%E -5.21%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 17:25
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -9.07%E -5.21%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 17:24
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.39%E -3.81%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 17:25
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.39%E -3.81%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 15:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 18:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 17:24
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.73%E -5.74%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 23:35
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.73%E -5.74%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 00:06
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 50.92%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%5.6%2026-04-06 23:30