Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons v Pittsburgh Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-05-21 02:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

70%

30%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local)

Prediction 70.33%1.42fair odd

EV -3.64%

Edge -2.66%

Kelly -9.84%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

68.29%70.33%70.16%72.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.291.331.351.3777.52%75.05%74.35%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 29.67%3.37fair odd

EV -0.621%

Edge -0.185%

Kelly -0.264%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.80%29.67%29.84%31.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.933.143.083.3534.13%31.90%32.52%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local): 70.33%; Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit): 29.67%. For Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -0.621%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -3.64%E -2.66%K -9.84%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-21 00:59
BetUS🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -3.64%E -2.66%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-21 01:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.34%E -3.19%K -12.07%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.00%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-21 00:59
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.46%EV -5.05%E -3.74%K -14.42%G +0.000%	2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -13.08%E -4.46%K -6.78%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-21 00:58
FanDuel🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.75%E -4.29%K -16.92%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.55%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-21 00:59
BetRivers🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.96%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -0.621%E -0.185%K -0.264%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-21 01:50
betPARX🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.96%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -0.621%E -0.185%K -0.264%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-21 01:50
Bally Bet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -9.27%E -7.18%K -31.96%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -0.621%E -0.185%K -0.264%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-05-21 01:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.