Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons v NC State Wolfpack

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local)

Prediction 52.96%1.89fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -5.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.48%52.90%53.05%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.771.771.8057.47%56.57%56.50%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

NC State Wolfpack (Visit)

Prediction 47.04%2.13fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.10%46.95%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.992.002.0552.36%50.36%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local): 52.96%; NC State Wolfpack (Visit): 47.04%. For NC State Wolfpack (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -3.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.67%E -2.60%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.15%E -5.32%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 15:00
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.73%E -3.22%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.33%E -3.72%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 14:35
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 14:35
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 07:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:05
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.39%E -3.21%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 15:35
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.80%E -3.98%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 14:40
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.80%E -3.98%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 14:40
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.80%E -3.98%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 14:40
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%5.3%2026-04-19 16:30