Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons v NC State Wolfpack

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local)

Prediction 56.84%1.76fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.629%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%56.69%57.01%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.661.671.7461.73%60.27%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

NC State Wolfpack (Visit)

Prediction 43.16%2.32fair odd
EV -0.738%
Edge -0.321%
Kelly -0.568%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%43.31%42.99%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.152.3048.78%46.21%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local): 56.84%; NC State Wolfpack (Visit): 43.16%. For NC State Wolfpack (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -0.738%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.09%E -0.629%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.53%E -5.62%K -10.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 16:14
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 19:00
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 19:00
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 19:00
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.51%E -4.01%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:55
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.91%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.738%E -0.321%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 15:34
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.91%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 17:14
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -7.91%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -3.33%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -7.91%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -3.33%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 17:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -7.91%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -3.33%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 17:14
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.91%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 17:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%4.8%2026-04-18 17:35