Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons v NC State Wolfpack

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local)

Prediction 63.25%1.58fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -6.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%63.38%63.41%65.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.481.5371.43%67.72%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

NC State Wolfpack (Visit)

Prediction 36.75%2.72fair odd
EV -0.773%
Edge -0.286%
Kelly -0.454%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%36.62%36.59%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.582.602.7040.82%38.80%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local): 63.25%; NC State Wolfpack (Visit): 36.75%. For NC State Wolfpack (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.773%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.29%E -2.46%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -9.59%E -3.90%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 20:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -9.59%E -3.90%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 17:40
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 17:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 19:24
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -6.65%E -2.62%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.02%E -4.78%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.61%E -0.985%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 14:49
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.02%E -4.78%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 14:48
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.66%E -5.24%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 19:30
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.92%E -6.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.45%E -8.18%K -28.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -0.773%E -0.286%K -0.454%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 21:55
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.45%E -8.18%K -28.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -0.773%E -0.286%K -0.454%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 21:55
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.45%E -8.18%K -28.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -0.773%E -0.286%K -0.454%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%5.1%2026-04-17 23:50