The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Wake Forest Demon Deacons v Louisville Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-05-01 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local)

Prediction 71.99%1.39fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -3.19%
Kelly -12.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.40%72.08%71.95%73.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.301.291.3377.52%76.85%77.22%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisville Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 28.01%3.57fair odd
EV -0.576%
Edge -0.162%
Kelly -0.226%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.65%27.92%28.05%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.363.353.5530.77%29.80%29.81%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local): 71.99%; Louisville Cardinals (Visit): 28.01%. For Louisville Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -0.576%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.25%E -3.19%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.78%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 08:48
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.97%E -3.76%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.58%E -2.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 05:03
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.69%E -4.34%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.78%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 13:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -5.69%E -4.34%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -5.62%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -5.69%E -4.34%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -5.62%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 16:49
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.52%EV -5.69%E -4.34%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.48%EV -7.86%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 16:50
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -5.69%E -4.34%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -8.42%E -2.57%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.41%E -4.93%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.78%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 14:24
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -0.576%E -0.162%K -0.226%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 18:14
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -3.38%E -0.979%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 15:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.78%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.86%EV -6.46%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 18:13
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.58%E -2.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 18:10
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.58%E -2.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 18:10
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.58%E -2.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 18:09
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.13%E -5.53%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.98%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%5.2%2026-05-01 21:49