Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons v Florida St Seminoles

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local)

Prediction 49.01%2.04fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.67%49.28%48.93%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.911.9555.56%52.80%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida St Seminoles (Visit)

Prediction 50.99%1.96fair odd
EV -0.568%
Edge -0.291%
Kelly -0.598%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%50.72%51.07%52.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.841.831.9557.47%54.47%54.79%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local): 49.01%; Florida St Seminoles (Visit): 50.99%. For Florida St Seminoles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -0.568%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.22%E -4.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.41%E -2.80%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.67%E -3.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 18:55
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.20%E -3.95%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 18:52
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.69%E -3.65%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -7.71%E -4.26%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 14:50
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -7.71%E -4.26%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 14:50
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -7.71%E -4.26%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 14:50
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.22%E -4.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.22%E -4.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.22%E -4.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.22%E -4.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 12:00
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -11.28%E -6.48%K -15.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 13:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.18%E -3.36%K -7.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 18:55
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.35%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.49%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.35%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.49%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.35%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.49%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 18:50
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.35%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.49%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 18:49
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.78%E -6.55%K -14.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -0.568%E -0.291%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 18:50
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.78%E -6.55%K -14.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -0.568%E -0.291%K -0.598%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%5.3%2026-03-15 18:50