Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons v Florida St Seminoles

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local)

Prediction 42.15%2.37fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -4.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%44.35%42.19%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.552.122.202.2564.52%47.28%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida St Seminoles (Visit)

Prediction 57.85%1.73fair odd
EV +34.21%
Edge +14.75%
Kelly +25.92%
Growth +8.87%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%55.65%57.81%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.721.622.3262.11%57.98%61.73%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local): 42.15%; Florida St Seminoles (Visit): 57.85%. For Florida St Seminoles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +34.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -34.67%E -22.37%K -63.03%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV +34.21%E +14.75%K +25.92%G +8.87%7.6%2026-03-14 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -34.67%E -22.37%K -63.03%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV +34.21%E +14.75%K +25.92%G +8.87%7.6%2026-03-14 20:00
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -33.82%E -21.54%K -59.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +30.16%E +13.41%K +24.13%G +7.28%8.1%2026-03-14 20:00
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -5.58%E -2.49%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.71%E -3.50%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:45
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -7.69%E -3.51%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -5.71%E -3.50%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:50
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 04:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:10
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.16%E -2.29%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 18:35
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -5.58%E -2.49%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 04:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -5.58%E -2.49%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -5.58%E -2.49%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 18:35
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:49
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 06:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.43%E -2.89%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 04:19
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 04:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 04:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 04:59
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 20:00
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.27%E -3.30%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%5.1%2026-03-14 20:00