Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons v California Golden Bears

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local)

Prediction 70.76%1.41fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -10.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.86%70.73%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.321.3676.92%75.26%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

California Golden Bears (Visit)

Prediction 29.24%3.42fair odd
EV -0.597%
Edge -0.176%
Kelly -0.249%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%29.14%29.27%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.173.4033.33%31.49%31.50%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Local): 70.76%; California Golden Bears (Visit): 29.24%. For California Golden Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.597%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.76%E -2.77%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 11:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -3.76%E -2.77%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -9.66%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.44%EV -3.76%E -2.77%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.56%EV -9.66%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 16:29
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.76%E -2.77%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.18%E -3.86%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 23:19
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -5.18%E -3.86%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -9.95%E -3.23%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 15:39
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.88%E -4.42%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 23:55
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.59%E -4.99%K -20.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 01:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.59%E -4.99%K -20.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 17:54
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.59%E -4.99%K -20.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.91%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 16:40
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.59%E -4.99%K -20.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.91%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.59%E -4.99%K -20.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.91%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.30%E -5.57%K -23.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 16:40
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.01%E -6.16%K -26.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.597%E -0.176%K -0.249%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 17:54
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.01%E -6.16%K -26.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 19:35
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -8.01%E -6.16%K -26.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -10.83%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-27 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%5.1%2026-03-27 21:50