Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies v Pittsburgh Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies (Local)

Prediction 41.04%2.44fair odd
EV +0.540%
Edge +0.220%
Kelly +0.372%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%41.09%41.10%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.252.4546.51%43.68%44.44%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 58.96%1.70fair odd
EV -0.352%
Edge -0.208%
Kelly -0.510%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%58.91%58.90%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.571.6965.36%62.72%63.69%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Tech Hokies (Local): 41.04%; Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit): 58.96%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.540%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +0.540%E +0.220%K +0.372%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.79%E -6.40%K -18.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 18:24
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +0.540%E +0.220%K +0.372%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.79%E -6.40%K -18.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 18:28
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.51%E -0.630%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.02%E -5.14%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 18:25
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.51%E -0.630%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -9.20%E -5.97%K -17.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -2.33%E -0.980%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -9.20%E -5.97%K -17.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 18:38
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -6.85%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.25%E -3.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 21:25
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 18:35
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 18:34
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.67%E -3.41%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.43%E -4.73%K -13.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 18:34
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -8.90%E -4.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -3.30%E -2.01%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 19:14
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.72%E -4.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.53%E -0.917%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 21:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -10.13%E -4.63%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -10.13%E -4.63%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -2.12%E -1.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 21:35
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.77%E -5.47%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.352%E -0.208%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 21:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.