Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies v Pittsburgh Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

40%

60%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies (Local)

Prediction 40.33%2.48fair odd

EV +0.819%

Edge +0.328%

Kelly +0.546%

Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.50%40.16%40.41%41.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.242.322.302.5044.64%43.06%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 59.67%1.68fair odd

EV -3.33%

Edge -2.06%

Kelly -5.37%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.03%59.84%59.59%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.61%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Tech Hokies (Local): 40.33%; Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit): 59.67%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.819%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.819%E +0.328%K +0.546%G +0.004%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-18 12:59
DraftKings🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.20%E -0.489%K -0.826%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.70%E -5.69%K -16.42%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-18 02:30
Bovada🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.20%E -0.489%K -0.826%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.70%E -5.69%K -16.42%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-18 04:00
theScore Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.23%E -2.23%K -3.87%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.12%E -3.22%K -8.68%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-04-18 20:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.23%E -2.23%K -3.87%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.51%E -4.84%K -13.65%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-18 21:00
1xBet🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -6.04%E -2.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -6.91%E -4.43%K -12.34%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-18 21:25
Caesars🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.25%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.33%E -2.06%K -5.37%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-18 21:34
Betway🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.25%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.91%E -4.43%K -12.34%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-18 20:49
BetUS🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.26%E -4.12%K -7.41%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.33%E -2.06%K -5.37%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-18 20:50
BetRivers🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.26%E -4.12%K -7.41%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.08%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-04-18 20:40
Bally Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.26%E -4.12%K -7.41%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.08%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-04-18 20:40
betPARX🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.26%E -4.12%K -7.41%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.08%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-04-18 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -9.67%E -4.32%K -7.80%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.33%E -2.06%K -5.37%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-18 20:50
LowVig.ag🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -9.67%E -4.32%K -7.80%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.33%E -2.06%K -5.37%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-04-18 20:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.