The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Virginia Tech Hokies v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 21:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies (Local)

Prediction 42.20%2.37fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%42.17%41.97%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.222.222.3046.30%45.06%45.05%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 57.80%1.73fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -5.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.83%58.03%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.631.621.6762.89%61.50%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Tech Hokies (Local): 42.20%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 57.80%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -2.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.94%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 21:00
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -4.63%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 20:56
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 20:59
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 21:00
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.05%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.94%E -4.31%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 21:09
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -5.48%E -2.44%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 21:10
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 21:09
MyBookie.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -8.10%E -5.09%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 21:06
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -6.74%E -3.05%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -6.74%E -3.05%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 20:59
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 21:09
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.16%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 21:08
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -6.94%E -4.31%K -11.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 21:10
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -6.94%E -4.31%K -11.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 21:10
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.85%E -4.10%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -6.94%E -4.31%K -11.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 21:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 30.30%1.00I 100.00%NM 69.70%43.5%2026-05-20 20:59