The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Virginia Tech Hokies v Duke Blue Devils

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies (Local)

Prediction 38.52%2.60fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.691%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.52%38.44%39.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.432.402.5542.55%41.21%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Duke Blue Devils (Visit)

Prediction 61.48%1.63fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -7.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.51%61.48%61.56%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.531.531.5667.11%65.36%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Tech Hokies (Local): 38.52%; Duke Blue Devils (Visit): 61.48%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -1.76%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.76%E -0.691%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 08:59
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.69%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.17%E -4.75%K -14.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 02:40
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.69%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.79%E -5.19%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 03:33
FanDuel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.46%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.56%E -4.31%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 13:59
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:24
MyBookie.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -6.00%E -2.46%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -7.17%E -4.75%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 18:03
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -7.16%E -2.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 15:29
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.10%E -2.63%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:29
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.10%E -2.63%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.93%E -3.32%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.10%E -2.63%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.93%E -3.32%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.10%E -2.63%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:39
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.31%E -3.49%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:44
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.31%E -3.49%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:44
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.31%E -3.49%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.94%E -3.88%K -11.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:44
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.47%E -4.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.40%E -5.64%K -17.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%5.3%2026-03-21 18:04