Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies v Clemson Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies (Local)

Prediction 45.02%2.22fair odd
EV +0.850%
Edge +0.379%
Kelly +0.685%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.97%44.71%44.94%46.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.122.122.2449.02%47.07%47.17%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clemson Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 54.98%1.82fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -4.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.68%55.29%55.06%58.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.691.7661.73%59.37%59.35%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Tech Hokies (Local): 45.02%; Clemson Tigers (Visit): 54.98%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.850%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV +0.850%E +0.379%K +0.685%G +0.006%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -10.94%E -6.75%K -17.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:55
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.951%E -0.432%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.09%E -4.19%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 16:55
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -0.951%E -0.432%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.94%E -6.75%K -17.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:53
MyBookie.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.75%E -1.27%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 16:43
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.19%E -4.90%K -12.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:40
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -9.84%E -6.00%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:50
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -9.84%E -6.00%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -9.84%E -6.00%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:50
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 16:39
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 16:50
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.19%E -4.90%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -5.90%E -2.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -5.90%E -2.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:50
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:55
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:40
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.15%E -4.00%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -3.24%E -1.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 52.68%1.67I 59.88%NM 47.32%26.5%2026-05-16 16:45