Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies v Clemson Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies (Local)

Prediction 46.05%2.17fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.467%
Kelly -0.872%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%46.02%46.02%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.042.1551.28%48.90%49.14%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clemson Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 53.95%1.85fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.98%53.98%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.731.8059.88%57.60%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Tech Hokies (Local): 46.05%; Clemson Tigers (Visit): 53.95%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -1.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.00%E -0.467%K -0.872%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.90%E -5.93%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 16:59
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -1.46%E -0.684%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -7.20%E -4.18%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 20:45
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -1.46%E -0.684%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -8.82%E -5.22%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.74%E -4.52%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:15
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.31%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.74%E -4.52%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -7.20%E -4.18%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 17:49
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 17:45
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -5.61%E -2.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.82%E -5.22%K -12.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 18:20
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 17:40
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 17:40
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 17:40
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 19:35
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 17:10
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.03I 49.26%NM 45.43%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.57%8.4%2026-05-14 21:55